This paper develops models of delinquent activity and subsequent sentencing to a correctional program. It shows how a population of youths, whose delinquent activity is represented by a stationary stochastic process, can be selected (using reasonable selection rules) to form a cohort which has an inflated rate of delinquent activity prior to selection. When the activity rate returns to its uninflated rate after the youths are released from the program, an apparent reduction results. Based on this analysis, the paper concludes that the reductions noted in delinquent activity may be largely due to the way delinquents are selected for correction rather than to the effect of the programs. Figures, equations, seven references, and appended technical material are supplied. (Author abstract modified)
Downloads
No download available
Similar Publications
- Economic Resilience and Polystrengths: Identifying Protective Factors Associated With Economic Self-Sufficiency Among Survivors of Intimate Partner Violence
- Participatory Mapping of Holistic Youth Well-Being: A Mixed Methods Study
- From Research to Reality: Recruiting More Women into the Policing Profession