U.S. Department of Justice, Office of Justice ProgramsNational Institute of JusticeThe Research, Development, and Evaluation Agency of the U.S. Department of Justice
Presentation — "Round Up The Usual Suspects" Potential Models for Understanding Crime Impacts of High or Increasing Unoccupancy Rates in Unexpected Places, and How to Prevent Them
NIJ Foreclosures and Crime Meeting, March 31 - April 1, 2009
Structure of MSA seeded the crisis
Madden (2003)
Slide text:
Percentage of the suburban population residing in civil divisions, with poverty rates at 90% (white), 75% (grey), and 50% (black) of central city poverty rate
—Description of graphic:
Madden's 2003 paper in Papers in Regional Science suggested that the relationship in a metropolitan statistical area between the poverty rate in the central city and the poverty rate in the surrounding suburbs is a key factor that contributed to the mortgage crisis being more serious in some locations than others. The graph shows the percent of the suburban population in several metropolitan areas living in civil divisions where the poverty rate is either 90%, 75%, or 50% of the central city poverty rate. Using 2000 data, the Charlotte metropolitan area appears the worst off; over 90 % of its suburban population lived in civil divisions where the poverty rate was 50% the central city poverty rate. In Houston, Memphis, Austin, Nashville, and Jacksonville the corresponding figures were between 60 and 80 % of the central city poverty rate. Having lots of relatively poor suburban civil divisions made the divisions more likely to be adversely affected by the current mortgage crisis.
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